CSA vs Santa Rita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CRB
1 - 4
CSA
74%
18%
8%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CSA
2 - 0
COR
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
IPA
0 - 2
CSA
24%
29%
47%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CSA
1 - 1
CRB
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
CSA
49%
27%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Rita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
ASA
19%
23%
58%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CSE
0 - 0
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
MUR
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ASA
4 - 0
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
CSA
49%
27%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |