CSA vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 1
CSA
8%
19%
73%
|
74 | 36 | 38 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
CSA
0 - 0
CSE
87%
10%
3%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CEA
2 - 0
CSA
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
CSA
2 - 0
CAR
87%
10%
3%
|
75 | 17 | 58 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ASA
2 - 2
CSA
7%
20%
73%
|
75 | 39 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
4 - 0
PAY
18%
24%
58%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
TDC
0 - 3
PAY
10%
21%
69%
|
57 | 25 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
PAY
1 - 1
REM
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
PAY
4 - 0
SCI
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 21 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
TAP
0 - 0
PAY
8%
16%
77%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | 0 |