CSA vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
28.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
CSA
3 - 0
FFL
47%
28%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
SAM
1 - 0
CSA
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 1
CSA
62%
23%
16%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CSA
3 - 2
JUV
45%
27%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
CSA
3 - 1
CRZ
13%
25%
63%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 0
NAU
49%
28%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 0
PAR
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 1
CHA
29%
30%
41%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
PAR
30%
30%
40%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 0
CRB
37%
30%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |