CSA vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
CSA
1 - 0
ASA
68%
20%
13%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
BOA
0 - 2
CSA
22%
25%
53%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
ASA
1 - 0
CSA
18%
25%
57%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
CSA
4 - 0
SAM
46%
26%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
PEN
2 - 0
CSA
8%
16%
76%
|
72 | 43 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
SED
1 - 0
NAU
4%
10%
87%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 4
NAU
9%
17%
74%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
SPO
1 - 2
NAU
78%
14%
8%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
NAU
0 - 0
SDJ
74%
17%
10%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
NAU
4 - 0
AFO
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |