CSA vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
NAU
2 - 1
CSA
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
PAL
3 - 0
CSA
91%
7%
2%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1998 |
CSA
0 - 1
PAL
17%
24%
59%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1997 |
CSA
2 - 6
ATP
24%
26%
51%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1995 |
CRZ
4 - 0
CSA
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
NAU
2 - 1
CSA
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1995 |
NAU
1 - 4
SAO
28%
27%
45%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1994 |
REM
2 - 0
NAU
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1994 |
NAU
1 - 0
VIT
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1994 |
BRA
1 - 0
NAU
60%
24%
17%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |