CSA vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
36.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2021 |
CSA
1 - 0
LON
52%
26%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
CSA
1 - 1
GUA
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
CSA
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 0
SAM
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 0
CSA
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
CRZ
2 - 1
VAS
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
OPE
2 - 1
CRZ
37%
29%
34%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
PPE
0 - 1
CRZ
37%
29%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CRZ
1 - 1
GOI
54%
26%
21%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
SDJ
1 - 0
CRZ
12%
22%
66%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | -1 |