CSA vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1981 |
CSA
0 - 0
FER
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1981 |
MIX
3 - 0
CSA
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
CSA
2 - 2
SAO
26%
24%
49%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1981 |
CAM
0 - 1
CSA
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
CSA
2 - 1
RIV
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1981 |
ATM
2 - 1
ARN
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1981 |
ARN
1 - 1
SPO
37%
29%
35%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
ARN
3 - 2
FER
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1981 |
MIX
4 - 2
ARN
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1981 |
FLU
4 - 2
ARN
71%
18%
10%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |