CSA vs Altos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
CSA
4 - 1
PAY
75%
17%
9%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 1
CSA
8%
19%
73%
|
74 | 36 | 38 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
CSA
0 - 0
CSE
87%
10%
3%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CEA
2 - 0
CSA
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
CSA
2 - 0
CAR
87%
10%
3%
|
75 | 17 | 58 | 0 |
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
ABC
1 - 1
ALT
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
FPI
0 - 1
ALT
28%
22%
50%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
ALT
2 - 2
COR
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 1
FOR
9%
20%
71%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 0
SPO
17%
26%
58%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | +1 |