Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 0-3
Universitatea Craiova vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
57.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
CSU
1 - 1
CON
53%
26%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
CSU
2 - 0
CSM
42%
29%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
CSU
0 - 2
DYN
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
LUD
1 - 0
CSU
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
CSK
4 - 2
CSU
54%
23%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
BYM
0 - 4
ACM
77%
15%
7%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
ACM
1 - 3
BVB
21%
21%
58%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 4
ACM
24%
25%
51%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
CAG
2 - 1
ACM
28%
24%
47%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ACM
3 - 0
BOL
74%
17%
8%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |