CD San Fernando vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
47.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
POL
0 - 0
SFE
81%
14%
5%
|
44 | 72 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
SFE
2 - 1
MAR
33%
29%
39%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CAD
6 - 2
SFE
81%
14%
5%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SFE
2 - 1
BET
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ANT
1 - 1
SFE
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
RJA
2 - 0
UBC
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
GUA
54%
27%
19%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
POR
0 - 3
RJA
23%
29%
49%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
GRA
2 - 4
RJA
41%
26%
34%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
G74
57%
26%
17%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |