Canadian Championship Quarter-finals
Global 1-11
Saint-Laurent vs Toronto FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.5%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
82.4%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.1%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.1%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.7%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.1%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Laurent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
HFX
2 - 2
SLA
72%
16%
12%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ROY
4 - 1
SLA
23%
23%
54%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -3 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SLA
5 - 1
LAN
90%
7%
3%
|
47 | 11 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
OTT
0 - 6
SLA
8%
13%
79%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SLA
4 - 3
ASB
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 1
DAL
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ORL
1 - 2
TOR
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
TOR
5 - 0
SIM
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 0
NER
21%
23%
56%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 2
TOR
62%
21%
18%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |