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Liga III. Serie 9, Matchday 6

Ocna Mureș vs Hunedoara analysis

Ocna Mureș Hunedoara
14 ELO 28
13% Tilt 147%
8535º General ELO ranking 5450º
199º Country ELO ranking 115º
ELO win probability
19.5%
Ocna Mureș
17.3%
Draw
63.2%
Hunedoara

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
Ocna Mureș
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.3%
63.2%
Win probability
Hunedoara
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3.7%
3-5
1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5%
1-4
5%
2-5
2%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ocna Mureș
-31%
+237%
Hunedoara

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hunedoara
22
47
100%
Metalurgistul Cugir
20
36
36%
Viitorul Cluj
13
25
15%
Gloria Bistriţa
12
29
15%
Ocna Mureș
11
18
12%
Unirea Ungheni
10
29
10%
Avântul Reghin
10
24
13%
Arieşul Turda
7
15
18%
Sănătatea Cluj
5
15
10º
18%
FC Unirea Alba Iulia
10º
4
17
21%
Expected probabilities
Ocna Mureș
Hunedoara
Champion
0% 100%
Title playoffs
25% 0%
Relegation playoffs
75% 0%

ELO progression

Hunedoara
HUN
Ocna Mureș
CSO
Avântul Reghin
AVA
Sănătatea Cluj
SNT
FC Unirea Alba Iulia
FCU
Unirea Ungheni
UNI
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ocna Mureș
Ocna Mureș
1%
X%
2%
ELO CSO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2021
VII
Viitorul Cluj
2 - 1
Ocna Mureș
CSO
49%
26%
25%
205 312 107 -1
18 Sep. 2021
CSO
Ocna Mureș
1 - 1
Metalurgistul Cugir
MET
39%
28%
34%
203 377 -174 0
10 Sep. 2021
UNI
Unirea Ungheni
4 - 0
Ocna Mureș
CSO
47%
27%
26%
205 288 83 -3
04 Sep. 2021
CSO
Ocna Mureș
0 - 1
Avântul Reghin
AVA
45%
27%
27%
207 214 -7 -2
28 Aug. 2021
CSO
Ocna Mureș
2 - 1
Arieşul Turda
ARI
44%
27%
29%
205 309 -104 +2

Matches

Hunedoara
Hunedoara
1%
X%
2%
ELO HUN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2021
HUN
Hunedoara
4 - 1
Gloria Bistriţa
BIS
49%
26%
25%
362 251 111 +2
22 Sep. 2021
HUN
Hunedoara
3 - 5
FCSB
STB
13%
19%
68%
357 1867 -1510 -1
18 Sep. 2021
FCU
FC Unirea Alba Iulia
0 - 5
Hunedoara
HUN
45%
27%
28%
360 362 2 +3
10 Sep. 2021
HUN
Hunedoara
2 - 0
Sănătatea Cluj
SNT
47%
27%
26%
358 269 89 +2
07 Sep. 2021
HUN
Hunedoara
2 - 2
Viitorul Şelimbăr
SEL
41%
28%
31%
357 506 -149 +1