Crystal Palace vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
35%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
EXE
1 - 2
CRY
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
REA
2 - 0
CRY
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CRY
1 - 2
CAR
29%
29%
42%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
REA
2 - 2
CRY
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
OPA
2 - 1
CRY
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
WAT
1 - 0
WYC
73%
16%
10%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
WAT
0 - 1
TOT
17%
24%
59%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
WAT
2 - 1
MID
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
POS
2 - 2
WAT
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
BHA
2 - 2
WAT
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |