Crystal Palace vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
CRY
0 - 4
TOT
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
BOU
0 - 2
CRY
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
CRY
0 - 3
FUL
53%
24%
23%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
CRY
2 - 1
VAD
58%
22%
19%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CRY
1 - 3
NAP
19%
23%
58%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
SOU
0 - 1
NTT
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
FUL
2 - 1
SOU
42%
24%
33%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 3
BHA
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
SOU
2 - 1
LIN
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LIV
3 - 1
SOU
80%
14%
6%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | 0 |