Crystal Palace vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2022 |
EVE
3 - 2
CRY
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ASV
1 - 1
CRY
47%
24%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CRY
1 - 0
WAT
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 2
CRY
45%
25%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
CRY
0 - 0
LEE
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
BHA
4 - 0
MUD
15%
22%
63%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
MUD
3 - 0
BRE
64%
20%
16%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
MUD
1 - 1
CHL
31%
25%
44%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ARS
3 - 1
MUD
36%
25%
39%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
LIV
4 - 0
MUD
61%
21%
18%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |