Crystal Palace vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
65.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CRY
0 - 0
FUL
56%
25%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
BHA
1 - 2
CRY
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CRY
0 - 3
BUR
42%
27%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2021 |
LEE
2 - 0
CRY
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
CRY
36%
26%
37%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CHL
0 - 0
MUD
39%
25%
35%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
MUD
0 - 0
RSO
55%
23%
22%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MUD
3 - 1
NEW
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
RSO
0 - 4
MUD
39%
25%
36%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
WBA
1 - 1
MUD
12%
20%
68%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |