noscript image

Premier League. Matchday 34

Crystal Palace Man. City
74 ELO 98
-20% Tilt 19%
135º General ELO ranking
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
8.9%
Crystal Palace
15.4%
Draw
75.7%
Man. City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
Crystal Palace
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
75.7%
Win probability
Man. City
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Crystal Palace
-8%
-4%
Man. City

Points and table prediction

Crystal Palace
Their league position
Man. City
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
15º
13º
74
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Man. City
74
85
100%
Man. Utd
66
78
99%
Leicester
56
68
25%
Chelsea
55
65
16%
West Ham
55
66
24%
Liverpool
53
65
16%
Tottenham Hotspur
50
60
38%
Everton
49
58
16%
Arsenal
46
56
26%
Leeds United
10º
46
55
10º
23%
Aston Villa
11º
44
53
11º
20%
Wolves
12º
41
48
12º
28%
Crystal Palace
13º
38
45
13º
20%
Southampton
14º
36
44
14º
19%
Newcastle
15º
35
41
15º
20%
Brighton & Hove Albion
16º
34
41
16º
21%
Burnley
17º
33
40
17º
25%
Fulham
18º
27
31
18º
64%
West Bromwich Albion
19º
24
29
19º
53%
Sheffield United
20º
14
18
20º
99%
Expected probabilities
Crystal Palace
Man. City
Champion
0% 100%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Crystal Palace
CRY
Man. City
MAC
PSG
PSG
Chelsea
CHL
Fulham
FUL
Lens
LEN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
1%
X%
2%
ELO CRY ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2021
CRY
Crystal Palace
1 - 4
Chelsea
CHL
24%
24%
51%
2146 3299 -1153 -8
05 Apr. 2021
EVE
Everton
1 - 1
Crystal Palace
CRY
58%
24%
19%
2142 2441 299 +4
13 Mar. 2021
CRY
Crystal Palace
1 - 0
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
55%
24%
21%
2133 1856 277 +9
07 Mar. 2021
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
4 - 1
Crystal Palace
CRY
71%
18%
11%
2140 3061 921 -7
03 Mar. 2021
CRY
Crystal Palace
0 - 0
Man. Utd
MUD
23%
24%
53%
2132 3273 -1141 +8

Matches

Man. City
Man. City
1%
X%
2%
ELO MAC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 2021
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 2
Man. City
MAC
15%
20%
64%
3836 2165 -1671 0
17 Apr. 2021
CHL
Chelsea
1 - 0
Man. City
MAC
37%
28%
35%
3851 3288 -563 -12
14 Apr. 2021
BVB
B. Dortmund
1 - 2
Man. City
MAC
33%
28%
39%
3829 3064 -765 +21
10 Apr. 2021
MAC
Man. City
1 - 2
Leeds United
LEE
80%
13%
7%
3843 1938 1905 -24
06 Apr. 2021
MAC
Man. City
2 - 1
B. Dortmund
BVB
72%
18%
10%
3834 3053 781 +14