Crystal Palace vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
47.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
NTT
0 - 1
CRY
47%
26%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 1
CRY
36%
28%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
CRY
1 - 1
DER
59%
25%
16%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
MUD
1 - 2
CRY
89%
9%
2%
|
69 | 96 | 27 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CRY
0 - 0
MIL
45%
29%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2011 |
BIR
1 - 0
MAR
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BIR
2 - 1
DON
74%
18%
8%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
HUL
2 - 1
BIR
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
BIR
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
SPB
1 - 0
BIR
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |