Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BUR
3 - 3
CRY
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CRY
2 - 0
WOL
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
MAC
0 - 2
CRY
85%
11%
5%
|
81 | 94 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CRY
1 - 1
NEW
44%
26%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
ARS
2 - 2
CRY
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
ASV
2 - 0
BHA
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 0
ASV
42%
25%
32%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ASV
1 - 4
WHU
30%
24%
45%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
ARS
3 - 1
ASV
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ASV
2 - 3
WOL
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |