Crvena Zvezda vs Napredak Krusevac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
82
1º
2º
1º
31
10º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
TRA
2 - 1
CRV
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NPA
1 - 2
CRV
18%
22%
60%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
CRV
0 - 1
MON
37%
24%
39%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CRV
1 - 1
BAC
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
CRV
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NAP
1 - 0
RAD
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FKS
1 - 2
NAP
56%
25%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
NAP
1 - 0
MNS
43%
28%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
RAD
3 - 2
NAP
66%
22%
12%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
NPA
2 - 1
NAP
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |