Crvena Zvezda vs Napredak Krusevac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
CRV
1 - 1
SHF
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
FKS
1 - 3
CRV
22%
23%
56%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
CRV
5 - 0
KAI
60%
21%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CRV
1 - 0
MLA
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
KAI
2 - 1
CRV
36%
24%
40%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
NAP
1 - 0
RAD
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
RAD
4 - 2
NAP
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
NAP
3 - 0
KOL
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
RAB
0 - 0
NAP
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
NPA
2 - 1
NAP
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |