Crvena Zvezda vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MLA
1 - 5
CRV
18%
22%
61%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2021 |
INI
0 - 1
CRV
17%
21%
63%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
VOJ
1 - 2
CRV
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
CRV
0 - 1
MID
46%
23%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
RAD
0 - 3
CRV
14%
20%
66%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CSK
2 - 0
LUD
35%
25%
41%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
LUD
1 - 0
LPL
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
SPB
4 - 2
LUD
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
LUD
2 - 0
BER
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
LUD
3 - 1
LOK
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |