Cruzeiro DF vs Paracatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
65.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SOB
1 - 1
CDF
81%
13%
7%
|
15 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CDF
1 - 2
SAN
19%
21%
60%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GAM
2 - 0
CDF
78%
16%
6%
|
15 | 52 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CDF
0 - 1
BRA
11%
19%
70%
|
15 | 52 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CEI
3 - 0
CDF
78%
15%
8%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Paracatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 0
TAG
5%
12%
83%
|
34 | 68 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 2
PAR
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SOB
1 - 1
PAR
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 1
BRA
19%
22%
59%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LUZ
1 - 0
PAR
61%
22%
17%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |