Cruzeiro vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 1
CRZ
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
CRZ
43%
26%
31%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
CRZ
1 - 0
SAO
53%
24%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CRZ
0 - 1
COR
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 0
CRZ
38%
26%
36%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
PPE
1 - 0
SAO
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
PPE
4 - 1
MOT
81%
14%
5%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
GRE
3 - 3
PPE
56%
26%
18%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
MOT
1 - 2
PPE
12%
21%
66%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
COR
1 - 0
PPE
70%
20%
10%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |