Copa do Brasil . Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 0
CRZ
21%
27%
53%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
FLU
1 - 1
CRZ
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
CRZ
1 - 1
FLA
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
ATP
0 - 2
CRZ
32%
27%
41%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
CRZ
3 - 1
PAL
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
SPO
0 - 2
PAL
31%
25%
45%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
FLA
2 - 2
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
PAL
4 - 2
VIT
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
PAL
0 - 2
COR
39%
26%
34%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
CRZ
3 - 1
PAL
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |