Cruzeiro vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 0
CRZ
44%
27%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ATP
1 - 0
CRZ
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
CRZ
0 - 2
GRE
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 1
CRZ
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
CRZ
4 - 2
COR
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
FLU
2 - 2
VIT
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
COT
1 - 1
FLU
40%
28%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 2
SAO
69%
20%
12%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 2
FLA
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
FLU
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |