Cruzeiro vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 1
CRZ
36%
26%
38%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
CRZ
2 - 0
GRE
60%
21%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
VAS
0 - 3
CRZ
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
CRZ
2 - 1
COT
63%
20%
17%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
AMF
1 - 1
CRZ
23%
24%
53%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 1
BOT
25%
26%
48%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
AVA
2 - 2
BAH
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
BAH
0 - 1
COR
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
ATP
0 - 2
BAH
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
FLU
0 - 1
BAH
74%
18%
8%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +1 |