Cruzeiro vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
AMF
0 - 2
CRZ
21%
26%
54%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 5
CRZ
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CRZ
2 - 0
SAN
73%
18%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FFL
1 - 2
CRZ
26%
27%
47%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
CRZ
2 - 2
COT
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 0
FLU
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 5
CRZ
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
ATP
1 - 0
BOT
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
BOT
3 - 0
SPO
46%
27%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |