Crusaders vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.2%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5.1%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
6º
5º
16
11º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CRU
3 - 2
GLE
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
CLI
0 - 0
CRU
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
4 - 3
CRU
14%
22%
64%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
CRU
3 - 0
BAL
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
CRU
2 - 1
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
POR
1 - 3
NEW
27%
26%
48%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
POR
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 1
POR
48%
22%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
GLE
16%
21%
63%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 0
POR
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |