Crusaders vs Cliftonville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
CRU
4 - 0
POR
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
LIN
2 - 0
CRU
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
GLE
3 - 1
CRU
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 1
CRU
8%
15%
77%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CRU
4 - 0
BAN
84%
12%
5%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CLI
1 - 0
GLE
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
CLI
2 - 1
COL
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CLI
2 - 1
CAR
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
CLI
3 - 0
POR
71%
17%
13%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
CLI
1 - 2
DER
51%
23%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |