Crusaders vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
52.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 0
CRU
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
CRU
3 - 1
MAG
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
MAG
2 - 1
CRU
33%
23%
44%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
CRU
0 - 3
STM
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 2
CRU
33%
24%
44%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 1
SER
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 0
CRU
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 1
BAS
16%
21%
64%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 5
HSV
59%
20%
21%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 1
BOT
64%
20%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |