Crusaders vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CRU
1 - 3
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
CRU
1 - 2
LIN
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
CRU
1 - 0
GLE
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
COL
2 - 1
CRU
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
POR
2 - 2
CRU
19%
22%
60%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 1
COL
25%
24%
51%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
GLE
2 - 1
BAL
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 1
DUN
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 2
BAL
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
LAR
0 - 1
BAL
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |