Cruiz vs EFA Visoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
2.7%
5-4
0.8%
6-5
0.2%
7-6
<0%
+1
15.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
4.5%
4-4
1.8%
5-5
0.4%
6-6
0.1%
0
18.3%
44.3%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
5.7%
3-4
2.9%
4-5
0.9%
5-6
0.2%
6-7
0%
-1
17%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
3.7%
3-5
1.5%
4-6
0.4%
5-7
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.7%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 56 |
3º
|
96% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 53 |
4º
|
98% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 33 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 32 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 22 |
10º
|
65% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 22 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 17 |
14º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 20 |
12º
|
1% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 19 |
13º
|
17% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 0% | 0% |
| Mid-table | 100% | 100% |
| Relegation | 0% | 0% |
ELO progression
CRU
EFV
UNG
GRA
FCE
CFS
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO CRU | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
FCP
1 - 0
CRU
49%
26%
25%
|
152 | 259 | 107 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
CRU
1 - 0
ISK
40%
28%
32%
|
143 | 447 | -304 | +5 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
CRU
2 - 0
COD
46%
27%
28%
|
141 | 166 | -25 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
FCP
0 - 1
CRU
49%
26%
25%
|
140 | 264 | 124 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
CRU
4 - 0
CFR
47%
27%
26%
|
139 | 83 | 56 | +2 |
Matches
EFA Visoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO EFV | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
EFV
6 - 0
CFR
48%
27%
25%
|
187 | 90 | 97 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
EFV
1 - 2
ARO
45%
27%
28%
|
300 | 300 | 0 | -4 |