Crown vs Tradesafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
WAR
2 - 1
CRO
35%
29%
37%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 0
SFC
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 6 | 59 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
OSU
1 - 0
CRO
16%
22%
62%
|
66 | 8 | 58 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CRO
3 - 1
IFC
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 6 | 60 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GIA
1 - 1
CRO
16%
22%
62%
|
66 | 7 | 59 | 0 |
Matches
Tradesafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
TFC
1 - 2
GIA
38%
22%
40%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ICF
2 - 1
TFC
58%
20%
22%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
TFC
1 - 1
ONE
47%
22%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ILF
2 - 0
TFC
41%
22%
37%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TFC
0 - 0
GAU
36%
22%
42%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |