Crown vs Nasarawa United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
32.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
GOM
2 - 0
CRO
62%
24%
14%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
CRO
1 - 0
SHA
38%
30%
32%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
DOL
2 - 0
CRO
61%
25%
15%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
HEA
1 - 0
CRO
58%
26%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
CRO
0 - 1
LOB
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nasarawa United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
NAS
1 - 0
HEA
45%
29%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
LOB
1 - 0
NAS
46%
28%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
NAS
2 - 1
BAY
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
AKW
0 - 0
NAS
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
NAS
2 - 0
TAR
52%
27%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |