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NPFL. Matchday 34

Crown vs Enugu Rangers analysis

Crown Enugu Rangers
27 ELO 33
-3% Tilt -46%
18344º General ELO ranking 4462º
32º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
52.4%
Crown
30.1%
Draw
17.4%
Enugu Rangers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
Crown
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
20.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.2%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
16.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
30.1%
17.4%
Win probability
Enugu Rangers
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Crown
-36%
-5%
Enugu Rangers

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kano Pillars
65
65
100%
Enyimba
64
64
100%
Warri Wolves FC
61
61
50%
Nasarawa United
61
61
50%
Giwa
59
59
50%
Lobi Stars
59
59
50%
Abia Warriors
58
58
50%
Enugu Rangers
58
58
50%
Dolphin Port Harcourt
55
55
50%
Heartland Owerri
10º
55
55
10º
50%
Sunshine Stars
11º
54
54
11º
100%
Taraba
12º
53
53
12º
100%
Sharks
13º
52
52
13º
100%
El Kanemi Warriors
14º
51
51
14º
33%
Bayelsa United
15º
51
51
15º
33%
Akwa United
16º
51
51
16º
33%
Gombe United
17º
50
50
17º
100%
Crown
18º
39
39
18º
100%
Kaduna United FC
19º
38
38
19º
100%
Nembe City FC
20º
28
28
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Crown
Enugu Rangers
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Enugu Rangers
ENU
Crown
CRO
Sharks
SHA
Warri Wolves FC
WAR
Abia Warriors
ABI
Gombe United
GOM
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Crown
Crown
1%
X%
2%
ELO CRO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2014
SUN
Sunshine Stars
2 - 0
Crown
CRO
49%
26%
25%
348 452 104 -3
12 Oct. 2014
CRO
Crown
1 - 1
Giwa
GIW
46%
27%
28%
348 404 -56 0
08 Oct. 2014
KAN
Kano Pillars
3 - 2
Crown
CRO
47%
27%
26%
349 486 137 -2
05 Oct. 2014
CRO
Crown
0 - 0
Enyimba
ENY
40%
28%
32%
349 576 -227 0
28 Sep. 2014
NEM
Nembe City FC
1 - 1
Crown
CRO
44%
27%
29%
349 349 0 0

Matches

Enugu Rangers
Enugu Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ENU ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2014
ENU
Enugu Rangers
1 - 0
Heartland Owerri
HEA
46%
27%
28%
430 499 -69 +2
12 Oct. 2014
LOB
Lobi Stars
2 - 0
Enugu Rangers
ENU
45%
27%
28%
433 334 -99 -3
08 Oct. 2014
ENU
Enugu Rangers
2 - 1
Bayelsa United
BAY
46%
27%
26%
432 394 38 +2
05 Oct. 2014
AKW
Akwa United
0 - 0
Enugu Rangers
ENU
41%
28%
31%
432 345 -87 0
28 Sep. 2014
ENU
Enugu Rangers
1 - 0
Taraba
TAR
46%
27%
26%
430 385 45 +2