Crown vs Bayelsa United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
28.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
GIW
2 - 0
CRO
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
AKW
2 - 1
CRO
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
CRO
2 - 0
TAR
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
ABI
3 - 0
CRO
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
CRO
2 - 1
WAR
37%
30%
33%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Bayelsa United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
WAR
3 - 0
BAY
54%
27%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
BAY
3 - 4
HEA
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
LOB
2 - 0
BAY
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
DOL
2 - 0
BAY
45%
29%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
BAY
1 - 0
AKW
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |