Cronenberger vs BW Oberhausen-Lirich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cronenberger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 0
SFB
30%
22%
49%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
FCR
1 - 0
CRO
76%
14%
10%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 1
SSV
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +4 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
SSN
1 - 4
CRO
59%
20%
21%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CRO
3 - 0
DAK
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
BW Oberhausen-Lirich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SFN
2 - 1
BOL
27%
22%
51%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
BOL
3 - 2
RAT
36%
22%
41%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TEW
1 - 1
BOL
14%
18%
68%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
BOL
5 - 1
NIE
16%
18%
66%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +3 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
WUL
0 - 2
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |