NK Croatia Zmijavci vs Vukovar '91 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
11º
8º
63
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Croatia Zmijavci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
RUD
3 - 1
ZMI
75%
17%
9%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ZMI
3 - 1
HDR
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
KUS
2 - 1
ZMI
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ZMI
0 - 1
SOL
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ZMI
0 - 2
NKD
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NKD
0 - 1
VUK
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VUK
0 - 0
NKD
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
HNK
2 - 2
VUK
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VUK
1 - 1
BIJ
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NKJ
2 - 4
VUK
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |