NK Croatia Zmijavci vs HNK Sibenik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
45.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Croatia Zmijavci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
MEI
2 - 1
ZMI
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
ZMI
1 - 3
SOL
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
NKO
0 - 1
ZMI
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ZMI
3 - 1
NKR
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
JUN
0 - 0
ZMI
13%
21%
66%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
HNS
0 - 2
OSI
20%
26%
54%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
IST
1 - 0
HNS
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
HNS
3 - 2
LOK
11%
22%
67%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | +3 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
SLA
0 - 0
HNS
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
HNS
1 - 1
NKD
48%
24%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |