UEFA EC U21 Grupo B. Jor. 3

Croatia U21 vs Romania U21 analysis

Croatia U21 Romania U21
68 ELO 63
8.5% Tilt 11.4%
1266º General ELO ranking 1761º
11º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
61.6%
Croatia U21
20.8%
Draw
17.6%
Romania U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
Croatia U21
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.6%
Win probability
Romania U21
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Croatia U21
-1%
-19%
Romania U21

ELO progression

Croatia U21
Romania U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Croatia U21
Croatia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jun. 2023
ESP
Spain U21
1 - 0
Croatia U21
HRV
79%
14%
8%
69 86 17 0
21 Jun. 2023
UKR
Ukraine U21
2 - 0
Croatia U21
HRV
32%
24%
44%
70 65 5 -1
28 Mar. 2023
ENG
England U21
1 - 2
Croatia U21
HRV
65%
19%
16%
69 80 11 +1
23 Mar. 2023
HRV
Croatia U21
0 - 0
Israel U21
ISR
62%
21%
18%
69 63 6 0
21 Nov. 2022
HRV
Croatia U21
1 - 1
Austria U21
AUT
52%
23%
25%
69 68 1 0

Matches

Romania U21
Romania U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jun. 2023
ROU
Romania U21
0 - 1
Ukraine U21
UKR
36%
26%
38%
63 66 3 0
21 Jun. 2023
ROU
Romania U21
0 - 3
Spain U21
ESP
8%
16%
77%
64 86 22 -1
28 Mar. 2023
ROU
Romania U21
0 - 0
Germany U21
DEU
15%
19%
66%
64 81 17 0
24 Mar. 2023
ROU
Romania U21
0 - 2
Portugal U21
PRT
17%
21%
62%
64 82 18 0
27 Sep. 2022
ROU
Romania U21
0 - 0
Netherlands U21
NLD
23%
23%
54%
64 75 11 0
X