Croacia U19 vs Netherlands U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
32.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croacia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
MDA
0 - 4
HRV
20%
22%
58%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
HRV
4 - 2
FIN
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
HRV
0 - 1
PRT
44%
24%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
BEL
3 - 2
HRV
43%
24%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
EST
0 - 1
HRV
18%
21%
61%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
NLD
2 - 0
FIN
69%
18%
13%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
NLD
3 - 0
MDA
73%
18%
10%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
RUS
1 - 1
NLD
44%
24%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
NLD
0 - 1
CZE
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
NLD
1 - 1
ISR
64%
20%
16%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |