Criciúma vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
47.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
CRI
0 - 1
NES
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 32 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 2
CRI
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 1
CRI
55%
26%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
CRI
1 - 0
VIL
36%
29%
35%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
CRI
1 - 0
MET
74%
18%
9%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
VAS
0 - 0
SPO
51%
27%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 0
VAS
20%
28%
52%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
VAS
3 - 0
OPE
56%
26%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
LON
0 - 1
VAS
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
VAS
1 - 0
CRZ
39%
28%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |