Criciúma vs Almirante Barroso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
CRI
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 1
CRI
29%
26%
46%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FFL
4 - 2
CRI
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
INT
1 - 1
CRI
14%
18%
68%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CRI
1 - 0
JEC
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Almirante Barroso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LIT
0 - 0
MET
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
LIT
4 - 2
FFL
7%
14%
80%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 1
LIT
88%
9%
3%
|
43 | 79 | 36 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
INT
2 - 0
LIT
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LIT
2 - 2
JEC
14%
20%
67%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | +1 |