Criciúma vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
22.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CRI
1 - 1
SAM
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 1
CRI
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
CRI
2 - 3
VIT
33%
29%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
CRI
1 - 0
NAU
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
ABC
2 - 2
CRI
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
LUV
2 - 0
PAR
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
LUV
55%
26%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
LUV
1 - 1
ATL
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 3
LUV
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
LUV
1 - 1
ABC
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |