Criciúma vs Hermann Aichinger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 1
CRI
13%
20%
67%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
CRI
1 - 1
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CRI
2 - 1
CHA
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 0
CRI
41%
25%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
MET
3 - 0
CRI
19%
22%
58%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
HER
0 - 1
MET
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
BRU
2 - 0
HER
29%
26%
46%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
JEC
4 - 1
HER
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 2
HER
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
HER
1 - 1
FFL
24%
25%
52%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |