Catarinense 2 Etapas Finales. Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Criciúma vs Guarani de Palhoça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
17.5%
2-0
19.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.6%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
24.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.9%
3.7%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 3
CRI
9%
22%
69%
|
63 | 29 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
CRI
60%
25%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CRI
3 - 0
TUB
83%
14%
4%
|
63 | 24 | 39 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
LON
1 - 1
CRI
53%
27%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 2
CRI
10%
23%
67%
|
63 | 29 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 3
CRI
9%
22%
69%
|
29 | 63 | 34 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CRA
1 - 0
GUA
55%
22%
24%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 2
CRI
10%
23%
67%
|
29 | 63 | 34 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
TUB
54%
24%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
CFC
3 - 0
GUA
35%
23%
42%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -3 |