Criciúma vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.5%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
34.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
CRI
2 - 1
GUA
82%
14%
4%
|
63 | 29 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 3
CRI
9%
22%
69%
|
63 | 29 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
CRI
60%
25%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CRI
3 - 0
TUB
83%
14%
4%
|
63 | 24 | 39 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
LON
1 - 1
CRI
53%
27%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
GRE
16%
27%
57%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 1
GUA
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
BRU
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
GUA
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 2
BAH
29%
29%
43%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |