Criciúma vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 0
CRI
41%
25%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
MET
3 - 0
CRI
19%
22%
58%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CRI
1 - 0
BRU
82%
13%
5%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
CRI
1 - 0
FFL
50%
23%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 1
CRI
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 2
HER
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 0
MET
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 0
FFL
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
JEC
0 - 0
CHA
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 2
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |