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League One. Matchday 46

Crewe Alexandra Shrewsbury Town
38 ELO 40
2% Tilt -5%
2934º General ELO ranking 2948º
537º Country ELO ranking 538º
ELO win probability
47.6%
Crewe Alexandra
26.9%
Draw
25.5%
Shrewsbury Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
Crewe Alexandra
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
25.5%
Win probability
Shrewsbury Town
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Crewe Alexandra
+2%
-10%
Shrewsbury Town

Basic stats

51
49
POS
14
12
SOT
4
6
COR
3
2
GF
2
3
GC
13
9
FRK
38
40
ELO
1.4
1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Crewe Alexandra
Their league position
Shrewsbury Town
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
23º
12º
54
12º
23º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hull City
89
89
100%
Peterborough United
87
87
100%
Blackpool
80
80
100%
Sunderland
77
77
50%
Lincoln City
77
77
50%
Oxford United
74
74
50%
Charlton Athletic
74
74
50%
Portsmouth
72
72
100%
Ipswich Town
69
69
100%
Gillingham
10º
67
67
10º
50%
Accrington Stanley
11º
67
67
11º
50%
Crewe Alexandra
12º
66
66
12º
100%
Milton Keynes Dons
13º
65
65
13º
100%
Doncaster Rovers
14º
64
64
14º
100%
Fleetwood Town
15º
60
60
15º
100%
Burton Albion
16º
57
57
16º
100%
Shrewsbury Town
17º
54
54
17º
100%
Plymouth Argyle
18º
53
53
18º
100%
AFC Wimbledon
19º
51
51
19º
100%
Wigan Athletic
20º
48
48
20º
100%
Rochdale
21º
47
47
21º
100%
Northampton
22º
45
45
22º
100%
Swindon Town
23º
43
43
23º
100%
Bristol Rovers
24º
38
38
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Crewe Alexandra
Shrewsbury Town
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Shrewsbury Town
STF
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
Nantwich Town
NAN
AFC Telford United
THE
York City
YOR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra
1%
X%
2%
ELO CRE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2021
BRO
Bristol Rovers
0 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
46%
27%
27%
547 506 -41 +3
27 Apr. 2021
CHA
Charlton Athletic
2 - 2
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
49%
26%
25%
546 629 83 0
24 Apr. 2021
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
1 - 1
Rochdale
ROC
46%
27%
28%
546 610 -64 0
20 Apr. 2021
FLE
Fleetwood Town
0 - 2
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
47%
27%
26%
541 610 69 +5
17 Apr. 2021
WIG
Wigan Athletic
2 - 0
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
56%
24%
20%
544 932 388 -3

Matches

Shrewsbury Town
Shrewsbury Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO STF ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2021
STF
Shrewsbury Town
2 - 3
Oxford United
OXF
42%
27%
31%
591 778 -187 -3
27 Apr. 2021
STF
Shrewsbury Town
0 - 1
Lincoln City
LIN
47%
27%
26%
594 569 25 -3
24 Apr. 2021
BPO
Blackpool
0 - 1
Shrewsbury Town
STF
47%
27%
26%
591 657 66 +3
20 Apr. 2021
STF
Shrewsbury Town
1 - 2
Wigan Athletic
WIG
38%
28%
35%
593 935 -342 -2
17 Apr. 2021
STF
Shrewsbury Town
0 - 2
Doncaster Rovers
THE
44%
27%
29%
597 723 -126 -4